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Rheumatology Advance Access originally published online on July 9, 2009
Rheumatology 2009 48(9):1122-1127; doi:10.1093/rheumatology/kep184
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© The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Early response to COX-2 inhibitors as a predictor of overall response in osteoarthritis: pooled results from two identical trials comparing etoricoxib, celecoxib and placebo

Clifton O. Bingham, III1, Steven S. Smugar2, Hongwei Wang2 and Andrew M. Tershakovec2

1Divisions of Rheumatology and Allergy, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD and 2Merck Research Laboratories, Rahway, NJ, USA.

Correspondence to: Clifton O. Bingham III, Johns Hopkins University, 5200 Eastern Avenue, Mason F. Lord Center Tower Room 404, Baltimore, MD 21224, USA. E-mail: clifton.bingham{at}jhmi.edu


   Abstract

Objective. We evaluated whether early response to NSAIDs predicted later response, and when this was established.

Methods. We evaluated pooled data from two identical 26-week, double-blind, randomized trials comparing once-daily etoricoxib 30 mg (n = 475), celecoxib 200 mg (n = 488) and placebo (n = 244) in patients with knee or hip OA. The present analysis was limited to the 12-week placebo-controlled period. Patient-level OMERACT-OARSI response was determined at 2, 4, 8 and 12 weeks. The proportion of patients who maintained response status between these times was determined from binomial distribution using the exact method.

Results. After 12 weeks of treatment, there were significantly more responders in the etoricoxib (59.8%) and celecoxib (57%) groups compared with placebo (34%; P < 0.001 for etoricoxib or celecoxib vs placebo). About 77.2% of the patients receiving etoricoxib, 75.4% celecoxib and 58% placebo (P = 0.001 vs etoricoxib; P = 0.003 vs celecoxib) who were responders at 2 weeks were also responders at 12 weeks. When comparing response agreement (responder or non-responder) at 2 weeks and 12 weeks, 74.3% of the patients receiving etoricoxib, 73.2% celecoxib and 71.3% placebo had the same response status ({kappa}-coefficient 0.459, 0.449 and 0.357, respectively). There were small incremental increases in agreement between Weeks 4 and 8 and 12 weeks. Logistic regression showed that agreement was not affected by index joint (P = 0.965).

Conclusions. The overwhelming majority of the patients who responded to treatment by 2 weeks remained responders at 12 weeks, with response status largely established within 2 weeks of treatment initiation. Early identification of NSAID response or non-response may allow clinicians to better and more rapidly adjust symptomatic OA management.

KEY WORDS: Celecoxib, Etoricoxib, NSAID, OMERACT-OARSI, Osteoarthritis, Responder criteria, Response

Submitted 10 February 2009; revised version accepted 1 June 2009.
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